Boundary between prompt-based and weight-based learning for compound AI systems
Characterize the boundary between reflective prompt evolution (GEPA) and weight-space reinforcement learning methods (such as Group Relative Policy Optimization with LoRA or full-parameter finetuning) for optimizing compound AI systems, by determining the data and rollout regimes under which prompt-based optimization versus weight updates are expected to outperform one another.
References
The boundary between prompt-based and weight-based learning is not well understood—although GEPA excels when rollouts are expensive, it is likely that weight updates will outperform prompting in regimes with abundant data or when large-scale rollouts are feasible.
Although these studies report gains in their respective domains, it remains unclear how the two levers should be coordinated once a harness has become specialized to a particular model, and under what conditions subsequent weight updates will compound rather than disrupt that fit.
We improve the Environment Designer with gradient updates, but co-adaptation between the Environment Designer and Reasoning Agent might also come from an Environment Designer that improves without weight updates, accumulating and refining design strategies from past attempts in context; whether learned weights or in-context evolution makes the better designer, and at what scale, is an open question.
We state this as an interpretation of the observed regime, not a law: with hundreds of shots the balance may move toward weight space, and we have not measured where.