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Uncertain outcome of an expert review regarding lowering the enrichment limit

Ascertain whether a comprehensive expert review of HALEU’s proliferation risks and the associated impacts on reactor technology would conclude with a recommendation to reduce the civilian uranium enrichment limit below 20%.

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Background

The authors acknowledge calls for greater clarity from experts with access to classified knowledge about the practical difficulty of constructing HALEU-based nuclear weapons and agree that a new paper or review could be reasonable.

However, they explicitly state that it is uncertain whether such a review would recommend lowering the enrichment limit, highlighting an unresolved question about the policy outcome of an expert assessment.

References

The requests for clarity and review from Kemp et al. are reasonable, but it is far from clear that the outcomes of such a review would be a recommendation to reduce the enrichment limit.

On the practicalities of producing a nuclear weapon using high-assay low-enriched uranium (2408.16013 - Cosgrove et al., 16 Aug 2024) in Concluding paragraph of the main text, immediately before the References.