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Theoretical determination of optimal pre-signature scaling factor

Determine theoretically justified optimal values for the pre-signature scaling factor α used to rescale inputs prior to computing the standard signature for use with the signature kernel in spatio-temporal weather forecasting, taking into account that different depth-k signature terms cannot be adjusted separately under this scaling scheme.

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Background

In the discussion of signature augmentations, the paper considers rescaling strategies to address the rapid decay of higher-order signature terms, noting that depth-k terms are of order O(1/k!). One approach is pre-signature scaling, which multiplies inputs by a scalar α, making depth-k terms of size O(αk/k!).

The authors explicitly note that there is no theoretical justification for choosing optimal α values and highlight a structural limitation: different depth-k terms cannot be adjusted independently under pre-signature scaling. Establishing a principled method for selecting α would directly address this gap and could improve numerical stability and representation fidelity when applying the signature kernel to high-dimensional weather paths.

References

However, no theoretical justification exists for optimal \alpha values, and issues arise as different depth-k terms cannot be adjusted separately.

Signature Kernel Scoring Rule as Spatio-Temporal Diagnostic for Probabilistic Forecasting (2510.19110 - Dodson et al., 21 Oct 2025) in Section 2.4 (Signature Augmentations)