Causal effect of fixing identified failure points on agent task success

Determine whether correcting the specific failure points identified by Docent-based automated log analysis in HAL agent evaluations causally leads to successful task completion or instead reveals subsequent downstream errors by implementing checkpointing of agent and environment states and replaying execution with targeted error corrections.

Background

HAL conducts large-scale automated log analysis using Docent to identify failure points, shortcuts, and reliability issues in agent trajectories. While this reveals where agents fail, it does not by itself establish whether addressing those failures would enable success on the task.

The authors note that establishing a causal link would require checkpointing agent and environment states at failure points and replaying runs with the corrections applied, which they did not perform due to computational constraints. This leaves unresolved whether fixing the flagged issues would actually solve tasks or merely expose subsequent errors.

References

Our automated log analysis identifies specific points where agents fail, but we cannot determine whether addressing these failures would lead to successful task completion or simply reveal subsequent errors. Establishing true causal relationships between observed failures and task outcomes would require checkpointing agent and environment states at each failure point, then replaying execution with the error corrected, which is beyond our computational budget at the moment.

— Holistic Agent Leaderboard: The Missing Infrastructure for AI Agent Evaluation  (2510.11977 - Kapoor et al., 13 Oct 2025) in Section A4 (Limitations and Future Work), Fundamental constraints — Limitations in failure mode analysis

Second, the diagnostic in Table~\ref{tab:tab1} is a hypothesis synthesized from the literature rather than a controlled result: it predicts which component a failure signature implicates and which intervention should help, and although individual predictions are supported by the works we cite, the mapping as a whole invites systematic empirical testing, which we revisit as an open problem in Section~\ref{sec:challenges}.

— Complex Problem Solving in Large Language Models: A Statistical Control Survey and Diagnostic Framework  (2609.20973 - Cai et al., 17 Sep 2026) in Section 2.3, Scope and Limitations of This Survey