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The Landscape of Causal Discovery Data: Grounding Causal Discovery in Real-World Applications (2412.01953v2)

Published 2 Dec 2024 in cs.LG and stat.ME

Abstract: Causal discovery aims to automatically uncover causal relationships from data, a capability with significant potential across many scientific disciplines. However, its real-world applications remain limited. Current methods often rely on unrealistic assumptions and are evaluated only on simple synthetic toy datasets, often with inadequate evaluation metrics. In this paper, we substantiate these claims by performing a systematic review of the recent causal discovery literature. We present applications in biology, neuroscience, and Earth sciences - fields where causal discovery holds promise for addressing key challenges. We highlight available simulated and real-world datasets from these domains and discuss common assumption violations that have spurred the development of new methods. Our goal is to encourage the community to adopt better evaluation practices by utilizing realistic datasets and more adequate metrics.

Summary

  • The paper reveals that reliance on synthetic datasets limits causal discovery’s real-world applicability and calls for the use of realistic datasets.
  • It catalogs synthetic, pseudo-real, and real-world data to highlight the methodological shortcomings that arise from oversimplified assumptions.
  • The study emphasizes the need for interventional metrics and application-driven methods in scientific domains such as biology, neuroscience, and Earth sciences.

An Examination of Causal Discovery Data in Real-World Applications

The paper "The Landscape of Causal Discovery Data: Grounding Causal Discovery in Real-World Applications" presents a comprehensive review of the current state of causal discovery, emphasizing the need for a shift from synthetic to more realistic datasets. The authors articulate the significant gap between theoretical advancements in causal discovery methods and their practical applications due to reliance on synthetic datasets that fail to capture the complexity of real-world phenomena.

Causal discovery, a process aiming to uncover causal relationships from data, holds promise for several scientific domains, including biology, neuroscience, and Earth sciences. However, its effective deployment in these fields has been limited, primarily due to the unrealistic assumptions embedded in existing methods and the datasets upon which they are evaluated. The authors advocate for using more representative datasets and refined evaluation metrics to enhance the applicability of causal discovery in practice.

Key Findings and Methodological Shortcomings

The paper identifies that the vast majority of causal discovery research is methodologically driven, supported predominantly by synthetic datasets offering simplicity over complexity. These datasets, typically generated under assumed ideal conditions, do not adequately represent the challenges encountered in real-world data, such as unobserved confounders, cyclicities in data, or heterogeneity among variables.

The review systematically catalogs the use of synthetic, pseudo-real, and real-world datasets in recent research. It criticizes the over-reliance on synthetic datasets for their lack of realism and contribution to method overfitting. For pseudo-real datasets, although they incorporate some real-world processes and provide ground-truth graphs, they still fall short by enforcing assumptions that do not hold in practice.

Real-world datasets, despite lacking comprehensive ground-truth graphs, bring to light the frequent violations of typical causal discovery assumptions in practical settings, making them essential for provoking methodological innovations. The authors emphasize the importance of interventional data—which allow for a more robust evaluation of causality compared to purely observational datasets.

Empirical Insights and Practical Implications

The paper highlights three domains—biology, neuroscience, and Earth sciences—where causal discovery could significantly influence, given the availability of large volumes of data and the potential to expose new causal insights. In biology, gene expression data stands out as a crucial area, especially with the advent of technologies like CRISPR that provide copious amounts of interventional data. Neuroscience, with its focus on uncovering mechanisms of the brain through causal interactions, offers a rich terrain for testing causal discovery, despite challenges such as high dimensionality and feedback loops inherent in brain data.

Similarly, Earth sciences exemplify a field where controlled experimentation is infeasible, drawing attention to time-series causal discovery methods that can handle the large spatio-temporal datasets typical in climate studies. The paper notes that the Earth sciences rely considerably on reanalysis data—a combination of observational data and model outputs—which presents both opportunities and challenges for causal discovery.

Future Directions

The paper appeals for the causal discovery community to orient research towards application-driven methodologies. This involves incorporating datasets that better reflect the intricacies of the real world and refining evaluation practices to emphasize the applicability of discovered models in predicting the effects of interventions.

Future research directions speculated in the paper involve the development of pseudo-real datasets that better mimic the complexities of real-world data by incorporating common assumption violations identified in observational studies. There is also a call for increased utilization of interventional metrics, which more accurately reflect causal models' predictive capabilities concerning real-world interventions.

Conclusion

The paper provides an incisive critique of current practices in causal discovery and envisions a more application-centric future for the field. It challenges researchers to transcend method-centric paradigms by leveraging more complex datasets that expose the limitations of existing techniques, potentially driving advancements that bring causal discovery closer to harnessing its full potential in addressing real-world scientific challenges. The proposed transformation aligns with the broader objective of making causal discovery a more robust, reliable tool for empirical assessment across various domains.

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