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Sharp and interpretable conditions for wisdom in large networks

Identify sharp, interpretable necessary and sufficient conditions under which a sequence of irreducible row-stochastic matrices (M(n)) yields wisdom—i.e., the associated eigenvector centralities c_i(n) uniformly converge to 0 as n → ∞—ensuring that consensus under independent, unbiased initial opinions converges to the true mean.

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Background

Golub and Jackson (2010) introduce wisdom—vanishing centralities in large societies—linking it to convergence of consensus to the true mean with independent initial opinions.

The paper gives a simple obstruction (bounded-size prominent sets) and interpretable sufficient conditions, but the author notes that sharp and interpretable conditions have not been established, leaving a gap between necessary obstructions and sufficient criteria.

References

give some interpretable sufficient conditions for wisdom, but sharp and interpretable conditions are not known.

Eigenvalues in microeconomics (2502.12309 - Golub, 17 Feb 2025) in Section “Social Influence,” after the prominence criterion and its implications