Sequential break testing with unit roots

Develop the asymptotic distribution theory for sequential tests (such as sup-F or sup-Wald procedures) that estimate the number and locations of structural breaks in linear time series regression models when unit roots are present.

Background

While wild-bootstrap procedures have been validated for single-break tests in the presence of unit roots, a full asymptotic theory for sequential multiple-break testing with unit roots has not been established. This limits practitioners’ ability to conduct rigorous inference on the number of breaks under unit-root processes.

References

The asymptotic properties of a sequential testing procedure for breaks in the presence of unit roots is to our knowledge not yet available in the literature.

Testing for multiple change-points in macroeconometrics: an empirical guide and recent developments (2507.22204 - Boldea et al., 29 Jul 2025) in Section 2, Unit roots