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Extend F-EDL to regression

Extend the flexible evidential deep learning (F-EDL) framework, which models uncertainty in classification by predicting a flexible Dirichlet distribution over class probabilities, to regression tasks by constructing an evidential regression variant that provides calibrated uncertainty estimates for continuous targets (e.g., by adapting evidential regression formulations).

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Background

The paper introduces F-EDL, a single-forward-pass uncertainty quantification framework for classification that predicts parameters of a flexible Dirichlet distribution. While demonstrating strong results across multiple classification scenarios, the approach is currently scoped to discrete-label settings.

The authors explicitly identify the extension to regression as an open challenge, pointing to evidential regression models as a potential foundation. Addressing this would broaden the applicability of F-EDL to continuous outputs while preserving its efficiency and principled uncertainty modeling.

References

Despite its improved flexibility, $\mathcal{F}$-EDL faces several open challenges. First, it is currently limited to classification; extending it to regression, for instance, by building on evidential regression models , is a natural next step.

Uncertainty Estimation by Flexible Evidential Deep Learning (2510.18322 - Yoon et al., 21 Oct 2025) in Conclusion, Limitations and Future Directions