Computational trade-offs in synthetic data generation and use
Determine optimal strategies for balancing synthetic data quality and quantity against computational cost to maximize downstream statistical utility, including guidance on how many synthetic samples to generate and how to weight them relative to real data.
References
Understanding how to optimally balance data quality, quantity, and computational cost largely remains an open and practically relevant problem.
SDD motivates future work on: (i) numerical experiments for a wider range of synthetic data generators, (ii) whether that compute saving persists at the scale and data mixtures of production TSFM pre-training runs, where synthetic data is only part of the corpus, (iii) applications of SDD beyond TSFM to Tabular Foundation models .
These weights are chosen manually rather than learned, and are not necessarily optimal. Recent work adapts the synthetic generator distribution during pretraining to emphasize harder tasks \citep{peroni2025robust}, which suggests the mixture is a design choice worth tuning. In our own experiments, however, varying these weights did not produce a large change in downstream accuracy (\Cref{app:negative}). We therefore keep the hand-chosen values above and leave a systematic optimization of the mixture to future work.
The fidelity study motivates a budget trade-off between fewer accurate labels, more approximate labels, and mixtures. It holds sample count fixed, not generation compute; a compute-optimal allocation remains open.