Collision-safe reflector sizing for Mars orbit

Determine how large individual orbiting solar reflectors must be to reduce the total number of spacecraft in Mars orbit sufficiently to keep a constellation operationally collision-safe.

Background

The paper proposes a Mars-orbiting solar-reflector constellation to double year-averaged insolation at a human base. Its representative design uses tens of thousands of relatively small reflectors distributed across multiple altitude shells and orbital rings. However, the authors note that collision-safe operation may require fewer, individually larger spacecraft, because the proposed constellation introduces substantial space-traffic and debris-management challenges. The unresolved problem is to determine the reflector size and corresponding constellation architecture that can preserve equivalent sunlight delivery while ensuring operational collision safety.

References

Open questions include how large individual reflectors would have to be in order to reduce the total number of spacecraft in Mars orbit to keep such a constellation operationally collision-safe.

— Doubling Sunlight for a Human Mars Base With Orbiting Solar Reflectors  (2609.00538 - Essunfeld et al., 1 Sep 2026) in Section 6, Conclusions