Precision in the Face of Noise -- Lessons from Kahneman, Siboney, and Sunstein for Radiation Oncology

Abstract: In this manuscript, we draw on the insights from Kahneman, Sibony, and Sunsteins influential nonfiction book Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment to explore the concept of unwanted variability in judgment (i.e., noise). We introduce key terms and connect these insights to the field of radiation oncology by illustrating how noise contributes to errors in clinically relevant areas such as contouring. Additionally, we propose practical strategies to reduce noise in radiation oncology, such as through judgment aggregation and the use of artificial intelligence tools, building on the principles outlined in the book.