A parameterization of anisotropic Gaussian fields with penalized complexity priors (2409.02331v3)

Abstract: Gaussian random fields (GFs) are fundamental tools in spatial modeling and can be represented flexibly and efficiently as solutions to stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). The SPDEs depend on specific parameters, which enforce various field behaviors and can be estimated using Bayesian inference. However, the likelihood typically only provides limited insights into the covariance structure under in-fill asymptotics. In response, it is essential to leverage priors to achieve appropriate, meaningful covariance structures in the posterior. This study introduces a smooth, invertible parameterization of the correlation length and diffusion matrix of an anisotropic GF and constructs penalized complexity (PC) priors for the model when the parameters are constant in space. The formulated prior is weakly informative, effectively penalizing complexity by pushing the correlation range toward infinity and the anisotropy to zero.