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Self-normalized Cramér type moderate deviations for stationary sequences and applications

Published 29 Mar 2020 in math.PR | (2003.12939v1)

Abstract: Let $(X i){i\geq1}$ be a stationary sequence. Denote $m=\lfloor n\alpha \rfloor, 0< \alpha < 1,$ and $ k=\lfloor n/m \rfloor,$ where $\lfloor a \rfloor$ stands for the integer part of $a.$ Set $S_{j}\circ = \sum_{i=1}m X_{m(j-1)+i}, 1\leq j \leq k,$ and $ (V_k\circ)2 = \sum_{j=1}k (S_{j}\circ)2.$ We prove a Cram\'er type moderate deviation expansion for $\mathbb{P}( \sum_{j=1}k S_{j}\circ /V_k\circ \geq x)$ as $n\to \infty.$ Applications to mixing type sequences, contracting Markov chains, expanding maps and confidence intervals are discussed.

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