Refine and Prove the Congruence Monoid Prime Count Estimate

Establish a corrected asymptotic estimate for T_d(x), the number of congruence monoid primes no greater than x in A_d = {n in N : n ≡ 1 (mod d)}, that better matches empirical data than the proposed estimate x/(d (ln x)^{1/d}); then prove the correctness of the refined estimate rigorously.

Background

Section 2 defines the congruence monoid A_d = {n in N : n ≡ 1 (mod d)} and congruence monoid primes. The authors propose the heuristic estimate T_d(x) ≈ x/(d (ln x){1/d}) for the number of such primes up to x, and present empirical evidence indicating the estimate is close but systematically deviates beyond certain x-ranges.

Open Problem 2.5 asks for improving this conjectural estimate to better fit the data and to provide a proof, analogous in spirit to the classical Prime Number Theorem but within the congruence monoid setting.

References

Modify our conjecture so that it better fits the data. Prove that modification.

Estimating the Number of Primes In Unusual Domains (2510.15255 - Cai et al., 17 Oct 2025) in Open Problem 2.5, Section 2.2