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Determine whether repeated occurrence of high-assembly-index objects can arise without selection

Determine whether, for complex objects with sufficiently high assembly index di, observing copy number ni > 1 can occur through random processes in the absence of selection.

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Background

A central claim of Assembly Theory is that high assembly index objects appearing in multiple identical copies are indicative of selection because random processes face super-exponential combinatorial growth that makes repeated identical construction implausible.

The authors explicitly conjecture that observing more than one copy (ni > 1) of such complex objects cannot occur randomly without selection, highlighting an unresolved question that bears directly on life detection and distinguishing evolved complexity from randomness.

References

That is, observing ni > 1 for a complex object with sufficiently high di is non trivial, and in AT is conjectured to not be possible to happen randomly (in the absence of selection).

Assembly Theory and its Relationship with Computational Complexity (2406.12176 - Kempes et al., 18 Jun 2024) in Assembly Theory, discussion of selection threshold in copy number vs. assembly index