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Determine whether NISQ variational algorithms can outperform best-in-class classical methods

Determine whether variational quantum algorithms executed on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices—such as the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) and the quantum approximate optimization algorithm (QAOA)—can outperform state-of-the-art classical algorithms on the same problem instances in combinatorial optimization and machine learning.

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Background

Variational quantum algorithms are a central NISQ-era strategy, but they face challenges such as barren plateaus and local traps, and their expressivity–simulatability trade-offs raise concerns about classical competitiveness.

The authors note incremental theoretical progress (e.g., proofs of parameter concentration and special-case advantages) but emphasize that, on the overall question of end-to-end superiority over classical methods, a firm answer is still lacking.

References

Can NISQ technology running such variational quantum algorithms outperform the best classical computers running the best classical algorithms for solving the same problems? After years of investigation, we still do not know, but there are reasons to be discouraged.

Mind the gaps: The fraught road to quantum advantage (2510.19928 - Eisert et al., 22 Oct 2025) in Section 4: From near-term quantum heuristics to mature quantum algorithms