Minimax finite-sample risk for E_p-based kernel estimation

Determine the exact minimax finite-sample risk rate for estimating a Markov kernel (stochastic optimal transport map) κ from a source distribution μ to a target distribution ν under the transportation error functional E_p, when μ and ν are supported on [0,1]^d. Here E_p(κ; μ, ν) is defined as the sum of the nonnegative difference between the kernel’s transportation cost and W_p(μ, ν), and the W_p distance between κ_♯μ and ν. Ascertain whether the optimal rate is n^{-1/(d ∨ 2p)} or n^{-1/(d + 2p)}, and investigate whether a multi-scale sampling analysis can extend to kernel estimation to improve the current upper bound.

Background

The paper introduces the transportation error functional E_p(κ; μ, ν) to evaluate stochastic optimal transport kernels without requiring uniqueness or existence of deterministic optimal maps. Using this metric, the authors develop estimators with provable rates, including a rounding-based estimator that achieves E[E_p] = \widetilde{O}_{p,d}(n{-1/(d+2p)}), and establish a minimax lower bound of \Omega(n{-1/(d ∨ 2p)}), leaving a gap between upper and lower bounds.

The authors explicitly pose determining the precise minimax rate as an open question, suggesting that a multi-scale approach (which improves empirical Wasserstein convergence) might extend to kernel estimation. They note a one-dimensional refinement achieving n{-1/2} and ask whether analogous improvements are possible in higher dimensions to close the current gap.

References

There are two clear open questions. First, what is the minimax finite-sample risk for estimation under \cE_p, say for \mu,\nu \in \cP([0,1]d)? We have established that the correct rate lies between n{-1/(d \lor 2p)} and n{-1/(d + 2p)}. The slower rate mirrors that attained by bounding \E[\Wp(\hat{\mu}_n,\mu)] without analyzing sampling error at multiple geometric scales. Can a multi-scale approach extend to kernel estimation and improve the current upper bound in {sec:estimation}?

Estimation of Stochastic Optimal Transport Maps  (2512.09499 - Nietert et al., 10 Dec 2025) in Discussion