Minimax risk nonattainment outside dominated settings

Construct a pair of nonempty sets of countably additive probability measures P and Q on a measurable space (Ω, F) that do not admit a common dominating measure such that the minimax risk R(P, Q) is not achieved by any bounded measurable test φ; equivalently, show that no minimax optimal test exists for some nondominated hypotheses.

Background

Theorem T_kraft establishes a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of nontrivial tests and provides an exact value for the minimax risk via total variation distance between weak-* convex closures in the space of finitely additive measures. In the dominated setting, Proposition 1 shows that a minimax optimal test exists. Outside the dominated setting, the authors indicate that achievability of the minimax risk by a test may fail, but they currently lack a confirming example, leaving open the existence of a nondominated problem where no minimax optimal test exists.

Resolving this would clarify the extent to which Theorem T_kraft’s characterization is operational in terms of implementable tests, and would delineate the boundary between settings with and without minimax optimal tests.

References

We suspect that outside the dominated setting of Theorem~\ref{T:classical}, the minimax risk may not in general be achieved by any test $\phi$, but we do not currently have a counterexample that confirms this.

A complete characterization of testable hypotheses  (2601.05217 - Larsson et al., 8 Jan 2026) in Section 1 (Introduction), immediately after Theorem T_kraft