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Equivalence of histology-based ROR-P predictions to transcriptomic assay in homogeneous treatment settings

Ascertain whether attention-based multiple instance learning models using pathology foundation model features to predict PAM50-based ROR-P from H&E-stained whole slide images can match the clinical performance of the transcriptomic PAM50-based ROR-P assay in guiding treatment decisions and in predicting outcomes in cohorts with uniform treatment protocols, thereby verifying equivalence in homogeneously treated populations.

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Background

Although the histology-based models aligned well with transcriptomic ROR-P by ROC AUC, Pearson correlation, and C-index within CBCS, the authors caution that this does not establish equivalence to the assay in guiding treatment or predicting outcomes under homogeneous treatment conditions.

Determining whether image-based models match the clinical utility of the transcriptomic assay requires evaluation in settings such as randomized clinical trials or uniformly treated cohorts, which were not available in CBCS.

References

Therefore, while the predictions of our models align well with transcriptomic ROR-P (as measured by ROC AUC, Pearson r, and C-index), we cannot conclude that they would match the assay's performance in guiding treatment decisions or predicting outcomes in homogeneously treated populations.

Towards interpretable prediction of recurrence risk in breast cancer using pathology foundation models (2508.12025 - Kaczmarzyk et al., 16 Aug 2025) in Discussion — Limitations