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Discounting Cash Flows in Cryptocurrencies

Determine a rigorous, market-consistent method to discount future cash flows denominated in a cryptocurrency in the absence of fixed-maturity lending and bond markets, by constructing an appropriate term structure of interest rates (yield curve) for that cryptocurrency.

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Background

In current cryptocurrency markets, only very short-term interest-rate proxies exist, primarily through proof-of-stake staking rewards and decentralized lending protocols such as Aave and Compound. These rates are variable, protocol-specific, and do not naturally extend across maturities.

The paper highlights the need for a broader term structure to support intertemporal valuation but notes the absence of fixed-rate lending and bond markets in cryptocurrencies. This motivates the question of how to discount future cash flows in a given cryptocurrency, which the authors approach by inferring implied interest rates from derivatives via call–put parity and inverse futures.

References

The question thus remains open: How can one discount future cash flows denominated in a given cryptocurrency?

Cryptocurrencies and Interest Rates: Inferring Yield Curves in a Bondless Market (2509.03964 - Bergault et al., 4 Sep 2025) in Subsubsection 'Going Beyond Short Term with Derivatives', Section 'Interest Rates in the Cryptocurrency Landscape' (Section 1)