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Extend pricing to markets with non-unique equivalent martingale measures via a class of utility functions

Develop an extension of the proposed data-driven option pricing methodology to the case where the equivalent martingale measure is not unique by employing a class of utility functions (beyond logarithmic utility) in order to determine an interval of no-arbitrage prices for contingent claims.

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Background

The paper’s methodology recovers a pricing kernel by solving a logarithmic utility maximization problem, which relies on the assumption that the risk-neutral measure is unique (market completeness). Under this assumption, the derivative price is unique and can be computed as the discounted expectation of its payoff under the risk-neutral measure.

The authors note that when uniqueness of the equivalent martingale measure fails, multiple no-arbitrage prices may exist. They suggest that, in such cases, one could consider a class of utility functions instead of only the logarithmic utility to obtain an interval of no-arbitrage prices, and explicitly note that this is left for future research.

References

In this case, one may try a class of utility functions, rather the logarithm utility function only, to obtain an interval of the no-arbitrage prices. We leave it for future research.

Data-driven Option Pricing (2401.11158 - Dai et al., 20 Jan 2024) in Section 2 (Market Data and Methodology), after Assumption 2 part (iii), footnote