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Martingale conditions for discounted stock process under short‑rate models

Determine parameter conditions under which the discounted stock price process exp(−∫_0^t R_u du)·S_t is a true martingale under the risk‑neutral measure for the short‑rate models considered in the paper (including Vasicek, Ho–Lee, Hull–White, Black–Karasinski, and the extended models EV+, CIR++, and EEV+), so that the optimal stopping results for convertible bonds apply without assuming constant equity volatility.

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Background

In the analysis of American-style convertible bonds, the paper notes that the results rely on the discounted stock process being a true martingale under the risk-neutral measure. Without appropriate parameter restrictions, the discounted stock process is only a local martingale, which invalidates certain optimal stopping arguments.

The authors reference sufficient conditions established in related stochastic volatility settings but state that analogous conditions for the specific short-rate models treated here (time-homogeneous and time-inhomogeneous, including extended models) have not been established in this work.

References

Conditions under which the discounted stock process is a true martingale for the particular short-rate models listed in Tables \ref{tblmodelsHomo}, \ref{tblmodelsNonHomo}, and \ref{tblmodelsNonHomoBrigo} are left as future research.

A Unifying Approach for the Pricing of Debt Securities (2403.06303 - Vachon et al., 10 Mar 2024) in Remark rmkMartingalePropS, Section 5.2 (Convertible Bond (American-Style))