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Characterize convective and kinematic environments of severe weather in Visayas and Mindanao

Characterize the convective instability and vertical wind shear (kinematic) environments associated with severe weather occurrence in Western and Central Visayas and in BARMM and Region XII in Mindanao, going beyond general rainfall and temperature climate classifications to identify the mesoscale conditions favoring tornadoes and waterspouts.

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Background

The paper identifies severe-weather hotspots in Visayas and Mindanao and notes consistency with established Philippine climate types, but stresses that the detailed convective and kinematic setups responsible for severe hazards remain uncharacterized.

A comprehensive environmental analysis would help explain the observed spatial patterns and improve risk assessment and forecasting in these regions.

References

The environments in these locations were generally comprised in accordance to the Philippine Climate Types developed by Coronas (1920) and Kintanar (1984), but the convective and kinematic setup of these remains to be studied.

— Project Severe Weather Archive of the Philippines (SWAP). Part 1: Establishing a Baseline Climatology for Severe Weather across the Philippine Archipelago (2409.03211 - Capuli, 5 Sep 2024) in Conclusions, page 15