A priori prediction of industrially relevant catalysts

Determine whether existing computational approaches can predict industrially relevant multicomponent catalysts a priori, including the active phase, promoter and support identities and proportions, and synthesis pathways required to generate the active material.

Background

The paper uses the Haber–Bosch catalyst as a canonical example of the difficulty of predictive materials discovery. The industrial catalyst is a complex multicomponent system involving iron oxides, promoters, additives, and synthesis-dependent structure.

Although modern simulations can guide experimental work, the paper states that it remains unresolved whether current computational methods could have predicted the catalyst before its experimental discovery.

References

Even today, it is unclear whether existing computational approaches could have predicted such a catalyst a priori, including not only the active phase but also the choice and relative proportions of promoters, supports, and synthesis pathways required to generate the active material.

Scientific applications of quantum computing: challenges and opportunities  (2608.16568 - Camino et al., 17 Aug 2026) in Section 2.2, Materials Science