A scalable, gradient-stable approach to multi-step, nonlinear system identification using first-order methods

Abstract: This paper presents three main contributions to the field of multi-step system identification. First, drawing inspiration from Neural Network (NN) training, it introduces a tool for solving identification problems by leveraging first-order optimization and Automatic Differentiation (AD). The proposed method exploits gradients with respect to the parameters to be identified and leverages Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) sensitivity equations to model gradient evolution. Second, it demonstrates that the computational complexity of the proposed method is linear in both the multi-step horizon length and the parameter size, ensuring scalability for large identification problems. Third, it formally addresses the "exploding gradient" issue: via a stability analysis of the LPV equations, it derives conditions for a reliable and efficient optimization and identification process for dynamical systems. Simulation results indicate that the proposed method is both effective and efficient, making it a promising tool for future research and applications in nonlinear system identification and non-convex optimization.