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Rigorous PDE formulation of equilibrium payoffs in asymmetric-information Dynkin games

Develop a rigorous theorem that formalizes the PDE-based characterization of the equilibrium payoff processes in the asymmetric-information Dynkin games described in Section 6.3, including (i) the partially observed dynamics model in which a diffusion X has a drift determined by an unobserved regime J∈{0,1} and the uninformed player’s posterior ψ evolves under the innovation process, and (ii) the partially observed scenarios model with a finite regime affecting payoffs. Precisely establish the variational inequality system for the informed players’ value functions u^0 and u^1 and the uninformed player’s value function v, identify the associated stopping regions, and prove equivalence of this PDE system to the martingale and saddle-point conditions defining equilibria in randomised stopping times.

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Background

Section 6.3 proposes a heuristic derivation of a PDE system that connects the paper’s martingale-based sufficient conditions for equilibrium to variational inequalities for the players’ value functions. In the partially observed dynamics model, both players observe a diffusion X whose drift depends on a hidden regime J; the uninformed player’s posterior ψ evolves via the innovation process, and the authors sketch variational inequalities involving the generators of (X, ψ). In the partially observed scenarios model, the underlying diffusion X is common, while a finite regime affects only the payoffs, leading to a related system of PDE constraints.

Establishing a rigorous statement would bridge the martingale characterization developed in the paper and PDE/variational-inequality frameworks used in related literature (e.g., verification approaches), clarifying the precise conditions under which the heuristic PDE system is well-posed and equivalent to the game’s equilibrium in randomised stopping times. A formal theorem would specify the function spaces, boundary and complementarity conditions, and prove the equivalence with the equilibrium value processes and stopping regions identified by the martingale theory.

References

Although it is unclear how to formulate a rigorous statement, we want to discuss here some natural ideas that hopefully can provide useful tools for practical solution of specific problems.

Martingale theory for Dynkin games with asymmetric information (2510.15616 - Angelis et al., 17 Oct 2025) in Section 6.3 (A heuristic derivation of PDE systems)