Origin of the discrepancy between energy-flux and ionization-rate crossover distances

Determine whether the discrepancy between the approximately 1.72 au crossover distance obtained from galactic-cosmic-ray and stellar-energetic-particle energy fluxes for K2-18b and the 10 au crossover distance reported for molecular-hydrogen ionization rates arises from using energy flux as a proxy for ionization rate, differences in stellar-wind modeling, or both.

Background

For K2-18b, the paper finds that galactic-cosmic-ray and stellar-energetic-particle energy fluxes become equal at approximately 1.72 au in the absence of a magnetic field. This differs substantially from the approximately 10 au distance at which Rodgers-Lee et al. (2023) found equal molecular-hydrogen ionization rates for GJ 436 b.

The authors identify two possible explanations: energy flux may not provide a reliable proxy for ionization rate, and differences in the implementation of stellar-wind effects may alter the modeled galactic and stellar particle spectra. The paper does not resolve which explanation is responsible or quantify their respective contributions.

References

Currently, it is unclear whether this discrepancy arises because the energy flux is not a reasonable proxy for the ionization rate, or from differences in the implementation of stellar wind effects, which may alter the resulting GCR and SEP spectra.

Energy deposition in planetary and exoplanetary atmospheres induced by cosmic rays  (2609.10688 - Polman et al., 9 Sep 2026) in Section 5, Results for case 2: K2-18b