Full-horizon asymptotics beyond the marked-memoryless benchmark

Develop full-horizon asymptotic theory for the least-false Cox estimator with affine terminal-time contamination outside the marked-memoryless competing-exponential benchmark, including the required triangular-array analysis as the analysis horizon diverges.

Background

The paper establishes finite-horizon results and gives a conditional full-horizon central limit theorem for the competing-exponential benchmark under additional tail conditions. It states that extending full-horizon theory to non-memoryless settings requires a triangular-array argument, which is not developed.

References

The full-horizon central limit theorem for competing exponentials is conditional on (A.1)–(A.3); outside the marked-memoryless benchmark a full-horizon result requires a triangular-array argument along, which we do not develop.

— Least-false Cox coefficients under affine follow-up contamination: exact continuous- and grouped-time benchmarks  (2609.28872 - Akhmedov, 24 Sep 2026) in Scope and limitations, Discussion