Cross-variate conditioning and decoder-depth sensitivity in AdaCast

Investigate cross-variate conditioning for AdaCast's input-conditioned low-rank parameter generation and characterize why AdaCast is more sensitive to updates in early decoder blocks.

Background

AdaCast treats each variable as an independent univariate time series and generates input-specific low-rank updates without modeling dependencies among variables. The authors explicitly identify cross-variate conditioning as unexplored, leaving unresolved whether incorporating relationships among variables can improve the method. They also report that removing early decoder-block updates causes the greatest degradation, but the mechanism behind this sensitivity is not established and requires further study.

References

Several questions remain. AdaCast is an univariate model, leaving cross-variate conditioning unexplored. The greater sensitivity to early-block updates also requires further study.

— AdaCast: Conditional Parameter Generation for Adaptive Time Series Forecasting  (2610.12240 - Nallagatla et al., 8 Oct 2026) in Section Conclusion and Discussion