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Nested sampling for physical scientists (2205.15570v1)

Published 31 May 2022 in stat.CO, astro-ph.CO, astro-ph.IM, cond-mat.mtrl-sci, and hep-ph

Abstract: We review Skilling's nested sampling (NS) algorithm for Bayesian inference and more broadly multi-dimensional integration. After recapitulating the principles of NS, we survey developments in implementing efficient NS algorithms in practice in high-dimensions, including methods for sampling from the so-called constrained prior. We outline the ways in which NS may be applied and describe the application of NS in three scientific fields in which the algorithm has proved to be useful: cosmology, gravitational-wave astronomy, and materials science. We close by making recommendations for best practice when using NS and by summarizing potential limitations and optimizations of NS.

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Summary

Nested Sampling for Physical Scientists

The paper "Nested Sampling for Physical Scientists" presents a detailed review of the nested sampling (NS) algorithm, originally introduced by Skilling in 2004, focusing on its application in physical sciences, particularly in Bayesian inference and multidimensional integration. The authors elucidate the principles of NS, report its implementation optimizations, and explore its application across diverse scientific fields like cosmology, gravitational-wave astronomy, and materials science.

Overview of Nested Sampling

Nested Sampling is presented as a transformative approach to address computational challenges in Bayesian data analysis. By evolving a collection of live points through a parameter space, it efficiently tackles high-dimensional integrals, which were traditionally problematic using techniques like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Nested Sampling emerges as a robust method that simultaneously returns results for model comparison and parameter inference, succeeds in multimodal problems, and is remarkably self-tuning.

Implementation Developments

The paper surveys advancements in implementing NS algorithms in practice, with emphasis on efficiency in high-dimensional spaces. Notably, it covers techniques for sampling from constrained priors, paralleling developments in MCMC such as slice sampling and ensemble proposals. The detailed discourse on dynamic nested sampling highlights improvements in computational cost and precision by adjusting the number of live points during the simulation process.

Application in Scientific Fields

Cosmology: NS facilitated intricate Bayesian model selection tasks, especially in analyzing inflationary models using datasets like cosmic microwave background measurements. It has been pivotal in enhancing the robustness of cosmological parameter estimation from various observational datasets, providing a deeper insight into phenomena like dark energy and cosmic inflation.

Gravitational-Wave Astronomy: The algorithm has been crucial in analyzing gravitational-wave signals, substantially contributing to parameter estimation and model comparison tasks. Nested Sampling has allowed for precise inference about the properties of stellar remnants and has played a key role in exploring unmodeled gravitational-wave sources, demonstrating its value against alternatives like MCMC.

Materials Science: The ability of NS to compute thermodynamic properties from the partition function showcases its adaptability in materials science. This application is portrayed through the exploration of phase transitions in Lennard-Jones clusters, emphasizing the algorithm's capability to efficiently map potential energy landscapes and forecast material behavior across varying temperature and pressure conditions.

Implications and Future Directions

The paper underscores the practical and theoretical implications of NS across multiple disciplines, suggesting potential advancements in data science and machine learning. The comprehensive discussion on nested sampling's strengths in tackling high-dimensional integration problems leads to speculation about its future applications, including more sophisticated Bayesian computation techniques and AI developments.

In essence, the paper establishes Nested Sampling as a pivotal algorithm for computational advancements in physical sciences, with broad implications extending into numerous scientific inquiries and technological innovations.

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