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The Neptunian Final Parsec Problem: How Inertial Waves Enable Neptunes and Gas Giants to Survive Tidal Migration

Published 9 Oct 2026 in astro-ph.EP | (2610.12968v1)

Abstract: Observations indicate that some hot Neptunes and Jupiters underwent high eccentricity migration (HEM). A longstanding issue facing HEM theory remains, however: in order to shrink their orbits by ∼1−2{\sim}1{-}2 orders of magnitude, planets must dissipate ≳10×{\gtrsim}10{\times} more orbital energy than is contained in their structural binding energy. Previous work suggests that excitation of planets' fundamental modes (''ff-modes'') at very high eccentricities, e∼e{\sim}0.99, can shrink semi-major axes by ∼{\sim}an order of magnitude (∼5→0.5{\sim}5{\rightarrow}0.5 au) while safely bleeding tidal energy to space. We examine how planets traverse the remaining order of magnitude in orbital shrinkage, a∼a{\sim}0.5→{\rightarrow}0.05 au, which still poses a danger for Neptunian planets due to their lower binding energies (their ''final parsec'' problem). To assess whether tidally-migrating Neptunes balance their energy budgets, we perform coupled orbit/structure calculations tracking their frequency-dependent tidal response under inertial waves (IWs). We show that tidal radius inflation at moderate eccentricities sweeps Neptunes' fundamental modes back into resonance with tidal forcing; only a small amount of tidal heat relative to a Neptune's binding energy is needed to drive this ff-mode excitation. This excitation of Neptunes' ff-modes may offer a route to safe circularization, provided the ff-mode dissipates without harming the planet. In contrast, eccentric gas giants (e∼0.9e{\sim}0.9) circularize without drama over ∼{\sim}Gyr. Our theory predicts that warm Neptunes on a HEM track (a≳0.1 au, e≳0.8a{\gtrsim}0.1 \ \mathrm{au}, \ e{\gtrsim}0.8) should be rare, in opposition to warm gas giants and lower eccentricity Neptunes. Observational confirmation of our predictions would constrain the interior structures of Neptunian planets via tidal theory.

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