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legoESM: a modular, differentiable, multiscale, AI-ready Earth system model built with AI agents

Published 8 Oct 2026 in physics.ao-ph | (2610.11883v1)

Abstract: Earth system models (ESMs) have grown tremendously in realism, yet key uncertainties persist in the climate response to greenhouse-gas forcing, particularly due to cloud radiative feedbacks. In addition, their software architecture was not designed for accelerator hardware or modern AI. Here we present legoESM, a composable, differentiable, multiscale ESM written in JAX. It builds on decades of community-developed parameterizations and numerical methods, recast in a unified framework by AI coding agents under a human-specified scientific contract and verified through benchmarking. Dynamical cores, physics schemes, grids, complexity levels and components are swappable like building blocks, and can use conventional physics or machine-learned emulators. A single code base spans metre-scale large-eddy simulation to global simulations and weather to climate. End-to-end differentiability enables gradient-based calibration, variational data assimilation and online training. legoESM modular architecture enables systematic evaluation of diverse model variants to explore structural uncertainty and test hypotheses. legoESM produces realistic simulations across scales, reduces land-surface temperature bias through gradient-based calibration, and scales efficiently on GPUs to kilometer-scale simulations. It offers an open, community infrastructure for hypothesis testing, research and teaching in Earth sciences and a template for multiscale physical systems.

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