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On Bonart's interpretation of the Square-Root Impact Law

Published 7 Oct 2026 in q-fin.TR and cond-mat.stat-mech | (2610.10053v1)

Abstract: The square-root impact law (SRIL), I=YσQ/VI = Yσ\sqrt{Q/V}, bundles two facts that a single mechanism must explain at once: a shape (impact proportional to square-root of traded volume QQ) and an amplitude (Y=O(1)Y=O(1), independent of the participation rate φ\varphi). Bonart has recently proposed an elegant solution: if realized and counterfactual prices are both diffusive, information-neutral impact must have white increments and the SRIL follows without the wart. We reformulate and simplify his argument, and foreground the ingredient he himself regards as essential --- that the market whitens the stationary stream of each participant's metaorders, not any isolated one. The Lillo--Mike--Farmer model satisfies his premises, yet gives an isolated metaorder the super-square-root impact φ<sup>(1−γ)/2Q<sup>(1+γ)/2\varphi<sup>{(1-γ)/2}Q<sup>{(1+γ)/2}, γ∈(0,1)γ\in(0,1), because single metaorders (i.e. not part of a stream) are statistically invisible and thus priced mechanically. We then construct an explicit multi-agent propagator that realizes Bonart's whitening, and show it reproduces the clean SRIL precisely when the market can attribute trades to their issuer. But correct re-attribution of anonymous trades is a formidable task, which requires markets to behave as implausibly efficient signal processing machines. The stream hypothesis makes a sharp, falsifiable prediction --- isolated metaorders, well separated in time, should not obey the SRIL --- that does not seem agree with empirical data known to us. Independently, a volume-conservation argument singles out the square-root law and lays bare the step the diffusivity route must assume: diffusivity fixes the variance of impact --- an additive, stationary, age-blind quantity --- whereas the SRIL is a law for the mean impact, which marginally decays as 1/age1/\sqrt{\text{age}} and therefore demands an origin of time.

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