Second-order Wasserstein response for Lévy laws

Abstract: Weak perturbations of equal size can produce terminal Wasserstein errors of different orders. For Gaussian-smoothed infinitely divisible laws, we differentiate distribution functions with respect to variance-weighted Lévy characteristics, including distributional directions generated by moving atoms. We obtain first- and second-order expansions uniform over Lipschitz tests. Gaussian analyticity identifies the signed second coefficient of the Wasserstein-1 distance when the first response is nonzero. When it vanishes, a finite second displacement moment yields a quadratic response, strictly positive for nonzero displacement dispersion. For local balanced remeshing, the error is comparable to the grid-alignment variance, giving sharp quadratic grid rates for compactly supported densities and nonaligned atomic sequences. We derive metric speed and length along admissible non-atomic curves and a response-based linear program with a certified oracle gap and consistent quadrature. We also establish the sharp vanishing-smoothing transition and a multivariate second-order expansion. The Supplement treats state-dependent responses and further stability estimates.