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High-CO2 Climates and Observables in the Outer Habitable Zone

Published 29 Sep 2026 in astro-ph.EP | (2609.36697v1)

Abstract: The habitable zone (HZ) is a fundamental concept used to guide our search for temperate exoplanets with stable surface liquid water that would sustain remotely detectable biosignatures. So far, most advanced 3D climate studies and prospective spectral simulations of HZ planets have focused on inner HZ planets that receive stellar radiation similar to Earth and would consequently maintain relatively low (e.g., hundreds of parts per million) atmospheric CO2. Here, we present a systematic investigation of outer HZ (OHZ) planets, which require high CO2 for habitability, using the 3D Generic Planetary Climate Model (PCM). Our 3D climate results are compared with previous 1D predictions that show strong agreement between models. Simulated spectra of the modeled planets indicate that high overlying CO2 levels affect remote signatures of habitability. We also determine substantial spectral differences that would distinguish habitable versus nonhabitable high-CO2 worlds with future direct-imaging observations for solar analogs and with transmission and emission spectroscopy for M dwarfs. Our results demonstrate that 3D models that include CO2 condensation are necessary to understand the potential planetary habitability and spectral impacts of clouds on terrestrial worlds in the OHZ.

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