Earth-Projected Clustering of Historical Optical Transients in the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey-I (POSS-I)

Abstract: Palomar Observatory Sky Survey-I (POSS-I) images obtained before the launch of Sputnik contain star-like point sources consistent with sub-second flashes that are absent from all subsequent observations. The nature and origin of these transients remain poorly understood. Based on models suggesting they are in geosynchronous orbit, we estimated the latitude/longitude over which POSS-I transients appeared. From a dataset of 107,875 POSS-I transients, we selected a subset with high probability of representing real objects based on a machine learning model. Two independent approaches were used to test whether transients non-randomly grouped over specific locations (hotspots). Based on comparing transient numbers in discrete 5° x 5° Earth-projected regions to numbers randomly expected in these same regions, 16 statistically-significant hotspots were identified. Separately, two-step cluster analysis identified 6 highly-distinct hotspots (silhouette value = 0.70). The two methods identified several similar hotspots not attributable to POSS-I survey biases: 1) Pacific ocean west of southern Mexico/Central America, 2) southern Gulf of Mexico, 3) southwestern US (Sedona, AZ, White Sands, NM regions). Transients accounting for reported transient-nuclear testing associations displayed location specificity, with exclusively Pacific transient locations during Pacific nuclear testing and primarily southwestern US locations during Nevada testing. Findings hint at intriguing POSS-I transient characteristics.