Asynchronous Model Predictive Control Under Model Mismatch: Stability and Performance Guarantees

Abstract: Certainty-equivalence model predictive control (CE-MPC) is widely used for its simplicity and efficiency, but theoretical guarantees under asynchronous feedback remain limited. This paper establishes stability and performance guarantees for asynchronous CE-MPC of input-constrained nonlinear systems. We first derive a nominal stability condition and competitive-ratio bound that explicitly account for inter-execution intervals without prescribing a feedback mechanism. A value-function perturbation analysis for quadratic stage costs then accommodates additive, potentially non-smooth model mismatch without constraint qualification conditions. Combining these results yields stability criteria and competitive-ratio bounds for CE-MPC under general asynchronous feedback, including event/self-triggered and multi-step MPC. The guarantees explicitly relate prediction horizon, inter-execution time, and uncertainty magnitude, quantifying performance degradation relative to an ideal infinite-horizon controller. These results clarify tradeoffs between feedback frequency, model accuracy, and horizon length, guiding asynchronous MPC design using approximate or learned models.