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Evolutionary pathways toward survival of a thick CO2- or SO2-rich atmosphere on the lava world TOI-561 b

Published 2 Sep 2026 in astro-ph.EP and physics.ao-ph | (2609.03144v1)

Abstract: Rocky planets evolve through the exchange of volatiles between their interiors and atmospheres, an interplay still poorly constrained by observations. Remarkably, highly irradiated ultrashort-period (USP) exoplanets may offer a window into this exchange -- some retain low bulk densities compatible with volatile-rich envelopes surrounding rocky interiors, indicating possible secondary atmospheres. TOI-561 b is a prime example, with a bulk density of 4.3±0.44.3\pm0.4 g cm<sup>3<sup>{-3} and recent JWST observations favoring a thick volatile atmosphere overlying a dayside magma ocean. Here, we investigate the evolutionary pathways allowing TOI-561 b to retain a substantial atmosphere over gigayears using the PROTEUS coupled interior--atmosphere framework. We explore different core radius fractions, Bond albedos, atmospheric escape efficiencies, mantle redox states, and initial C--H--O--N--S volatile inventories, under in situ evolution and late inward migration. Over half of our simulations leave a bare interior too dense to match observations. Successful cases favor a volatile-rich origin (200\lesssim200 Earth oceans of hydrogen, S/H 10\le10, and N/H 1\le1), an oxidized mantle (ffO2IW+4_2 \gtrsim \mathrm{IW}+4), a small iron core (0.40\le 0.40 for the core radius fraction), and low escape efficiency (ε10<sup>3ε\lesssim 10<sup>{-3}) in the hydrodynamic escape regime. At present, TOI-561 b is consistent with a global magma ocean beneath a thick (surface pressure 10<sup>3\approx 10<sup>{3}--10<sup>410<sup>{4} bar), high mean molecular weight atmosphere ($38$--$60$ g mol<sup>1<sup>{-1}). Two archetypes emerge, differentiated by bulk sulfur content: a CO2_2-dominated and an SO2_2-dominated atmosphere. Migration is viable but not required to reproduce the observations. Our study illustrates how interior--atmosphere coupling governs atmospheric retention on irradiated rocky planets.

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