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Pointwise Majorization for sub-Weibull and Mixed Tail Processes with Applications in Quadratic Chaos and Ergodic Diffusions

Published 1 Sep 2026 in math.PR, math.ST, and stat.ML | (2609.01576v1)

Abstract: Classical chaining controls an indexed stochastic process through a single worst-case bound, which can obscure substantial variation across the index set. We establish the first simultaneous pointwise majorization theory for Banach-valued processes with sub-Weibull or two-metric mixed-tail increments. For an anchored sub-Weibull process on a separable index space, write v(t):=d(t,t0)v(t):=d(t,t_0). Given a reference measure μμ, the envelope at tt is governed by the pointwise Fernique-Talagrand functional of order αα, Φ<em>μ,d<sup>(α)(t):=0<sup>4v(t)(log1μ(Bd(t,r)))<sup>1/αdrΦ<em>{μ,d}<sup>{(α)}(t):=\int_0<sup>{4v(t)}(\log\frac{1}{μ(B_d(t,r))})<sup>{1/α}dr. δ(0,1)\forall δ\in(0,1), we obtain that P(ZtΦ</em>μ,d<sup>(α)(t)+v(t)(log(e/δ))<sup>1/α,</sup></sup>t)1δ. \mathbb{P}(|Z_t|\lesssim{Φ</em>{μ,d}<sup>{(α)}(t)+v(t)(\log(e/δ))<sup>{1/α}},\forall</sup></sup> t)\ge 1-δ. Our bound is determined by the pointwise complexity Φ<em>μ,d<sup>(α)Φ<em>{μ,d}<sup>{(α)} rather than a global quantity. The result holds for every $α&gt;0$ and does not involve dyadic logarithmic terms from peeling. For mixed tail processes, with fixed measures μ1,μ2μ_1,μ_2 and vj(t):=dj(t,t0)v_j(t):=d_j(t,t_0), Φj(t):=0<sup>4vj(t)(log1μj(B</sup></em>dj(t,r)))<sup>1/αjdr,</sup>j=1,2Φ_j(t):=\int_0<sup>{4v_j(t)}(\log\frac{1}{μ_j(B</sup></em>{d_j}(t,r))})<sup>{1/α_j}dr,</sup> j=1,2, for any δ(0,1)δ\in(0,1), we show that P(Ztj=1<sup>2Φj(t)+vj(t)(logeδ)<sup>1/αj,</sup></sup>t)1δ.\mathbb{P}(|Z_t|\lesssim\sum_{j=1}<sup>2{Φ_j(t)+v_j(t)(\log\frac{e}δ)<sup>{1/α_j}},\forall</sup></sup> t)\ge 1-δ. Although the two regimes are coupled in the mixed tail condition, each retains its own pseudo-metric, reference measure, pointwise Fernique-Talagrand functional, and tail exponent. The proof tracks the index-wise costs of measure-generated admissible chains and synchronizes them through a nested common refinement. For applications, we derive matrix-specific bounds for centered quadratic chaos under pseudo-metrics induced by the operator and Frobenius norms, and observable-specific finite-time bounds for diffusion empirical processes.

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