Analytic rank one propagation in Hida families

Abstract: Let $f$ be a non-CM newform of weight $k\geq4$, level $N$ and trivial Nebentypus. Let $p\nmid N$ be an odd prime number that is ordinary for $f$ and denote by $\boldsymbol f<sup>{(p)}$ the $p$-adic Hida family passing through $f$. Assuming very specific instances of two general conjectures in arithmetic algebraic geometry (injectivity of $p$-adic Abel-Jacobi maps, positive definiteness of archimedean height pairings à la Gillet-Soulé), we prove that, for all but finitely many $p$ as above, if the analytic rank of $f$ is $1$, then all but finitely many specializations of $\boldsymbol f<sup>{(p)}$ of even weight and trivial Nebentypus have analytic rank $1$. This result provides evidence for Greenberg's "minimality conjecture" on analytic ranks in families of modular forms.