Practical Estimation of Trotter Error for Hamiltonian Simulation

Abstract: Trotter product formulas are a leading approach for Hamiltonian simulation on quantum computers, yet their practical performance has remained difficult to assess due to the challenge of accurately estimating the Trotter error. In this work, we develop new theoretical results, algorithms, and software tools that advance the state-of-the-art in Trotter error estimation by orders of magnitude in both scale and accuracy. On the theoretical side, we prove that in the asymptotic limit the error of a product formula depends on the diagonal elements of the Baker-Campbell-Hausdorff (BCH) error operator in the eigenbasis of the Hamiltonian, rather than its full spectral norm -- yielding an improved scaling for Hamiltonian simulation using product formulas. On the algorithmic side, we introduce a compact representation of the BCH expansion that reduces the number of commutators from $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ to $\mathcal{O}(n)$ for second-order, and from $\mathcal{O}(n^5)$ to $\mathcal{O}(n^2)$ for fourth-order formulas on $n$ fragments, complemented by an importance sampling scheme to further reduce the computational cost. We provide implementations of these techniques in software and demonstrate their power on two applications: (i) X-ray absorption spectroscopy of an electronic Hamiltonian (Li$_4$Mn$_2$O) at up to 56 qubits using tensor networks; and (ii) vibronic dynamics of naphthalene at over 100 qubits using ML-MCTDH, where we find that naive analytical bounds overestimate the required number of Trotter steps by nearly five orders of magnitude. Our framework enables, for the first time, the accurate estimation of Trotter error at practically relevant system sizes, providing a foundation for fair algorithmic comparisons and rational design of product formulas.