Offline accuracy is not enough: closed-loop instability and stabilisation of a wall-sensor neural estimator in opposition control

Abstract: Opposition control reduces skin-friction drag by opposing the wall-normal velocity on a near-wall detection plane, but the detection-plane velocity it requires is not available from wall-mounted sensors. Wall data can reconstruct inner-flow quantities accurately when assessed offline on a fixed flow state, and we ask whether such a reconstructed field can instead serve as a live surrogate sensor inside the feedback loop. We train a recurrent estimator to infer the detection-plane velocity from the two wall-shear-stress components in opposition-controlled turbulence. Offline it performs extremely well, reaching a correlation of 0.99 and near-unity coherence across the energetic scales; yet the same estimator fails in closed loop, decorrelating from the true field within a few viscous time units as the control collapses. The failure is not one of accuracy but of distribution shift induced by the controller itself: small closed-loop errors carry the flow off the attractor represented in the training data, while unresolved high-wavenumber errors enter through the wall boundary condition and return as out-of-distribution inputs. Standard remedies such as low-pass filtering and exponential averaging only delay numerical breakdown while accelerating decorrelation. Stable wall-only control is recovered by imposing spectral consistency on the deployed actuation and retraining the estimator on its own closed-loop data, giving a controller that holds much of the drag reduction of ideal opposition control from wall quantities alone. The obstacle is not whether the near-wall flow can be reconstructed offline, but whether that reconstruction stays dynamically consistent when allowed to modify the flow it senses.