When EER Hides Deployment Failure: Auditing Threshold Transfer and Unlabeled Score Calibration for Speech Deepfake Detectors

Abstract: Speech deepfake countermeasures (CMs) are compared almost exclusively by equal error rate (EER), a metric computed at an oracle threshold chosen on the labeled test set. Deployed CMs enjoy no such oracle: a threshold must be fixed in advance and applied to unlabeled target data. We audit this gap with a frozen state-of-the-art SSL-AASIST detector trained on ASVspoof 2019 LA. While its in-domain EER is 0.21%, transferring its LA-calibrated threshold to the In-the-Wild corpus yields a half total error rate (HTER) of 39.5%, with 78.7% of bona fide speech rejected, even though the In-the-Wild EER (11.2%) appears moderate. We then test whether popular unlabeled test-time corrections close this gap, and first prove a simple proposition: any strictly increasing score transform, including z-norm, temperature/shift calibration, and embedding mean alignment under a frozen linear head, cannot change EER. An audit of seven corrections on In-the-Wild and ASVspoof 2021 DF confirms the proposition empirically and exposes two further failure modes: AS-norm with an unlabeled target cohort collapses (EER 11.2% to 60.2%), and pseudo-label calibration that reduces HTER by 38% relative on In-the-Wild degenerates to 50% HTER on DF21, whose spoof prior is 96%. No audited correction reduces EER by more than 1% relative. We recommend reporting HTER at a transferred threshold alongside EER.