Distributed Acoustic Sensing for Urban Monitoring: Coverage Thresholds and Percolation

Abstract: Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) enables the repurposing of existing fiber-optic networks as ultra-dense, long-range seismic arrays for urban monitoring. However, constraints imposed by real-world fiber infrastructure topology and components limit its use for city-scale applications. Recent technological developments have paved the way for short-range, on-chip DAS. Assuming their availability, and based on a Graph Theory framework, we show that monitoring applications fall along a coverage spectrum with two critical thresholds that define three distinct regimes. Low coverage (<10%) can, with optimal design, resolve earthquake early warning, groundwater monitoring, geological mapping, and urban activity tracking. A percolation transition occurs at 51.6% coverage, beyond which the city effectively becomes fully covered and statistical traffic monitoring is possible. Only for effectively complete coverage, infrastructure monitoring, individual vehicle tracking, and pedestrian movement analysis become possible. Thus, privacy-related risks remain very low. We show and exemplify how, for metropolises around the world, an optimal sensing network can be designed for earthquake early warning, traffic monitoring, and urban activity tracking. This framework provides a near-future roadmap for deploying urban DAS networks as a backbone of smart city sensing.