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Comprehensive Statistical Validation of TOI-7701.01: A Sub-Saturn Companion at the Giant Planet Boundary

Published 13 Jun 2026 in astro-ph.EP and astro-ph.IM | (2606.15430v1)

Abstract: We present the formal statistical validation of TOI-7701.01 (TIC 122522333), a sub-Saturn transiting companion candidate orbiting a bright F-type subgiant host star (V=11.09V=11.09). Initially detected via an automated machine-learning transit survey by Salinas et al. (2025), the planetary nature of this signal remained unclear. We implement an independent vetting and statistical pipeline leveraging multi-sector space kinematics and the \texttt{triceratops} Bayesian framework to compute false positive scenarios. A key methodological finding is the structural convergence of the companion's physical scale; despite utilizing un-detrended Simple Aperture Photometry (SAP) with a raw depth of $2417$ ppm to preserve field dilution metrics, the \texttt{triceratops} MCMC engine naturally converges on a physical radius of 7.86 R⊕7.86\,R_\oplus under the dominant Target Planet scenario (P<em>TP=78.1%\mathcal{P}<em>{\rm TP} = 78.1\%). This independent statistical derivation matches the geometric radius of 8.07 R</em>⊕8.07\,R</em>\oplus inferred directly from the instrumentally corrected Pre-Search Data Conditioning (PDCSAP) data. By aggregating our multi-iteration ensemble to suppress MCMC stochasticity, we derive a robust global False Positive Probability (FPP=0.00191\mathrm{FPP} = 0.00191) and a Nearby False Positive Probability ($\mathrm{NFPP} &lt; 10<sup>{-6}$), firmly validating the companion well below the rigorous 1.5%1.5\% threshold established for this Bayesian framework. While the derived 7.8–8.1 R⊕7.8\text{--}8.1\,R_\oplus radius places the object at the boundary between giant planets and low-mass brown dwarfs, such a radius is highly atypical for a brown dwarf, pointing to a planetary nature. We report TOI-7701.01 as a validated companion and encourage prompt radial velocity characterization.

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