Robust Player-Conditional Champion Ranking for League of Legends: Style Similarity, Mastery Priors, and Archetype-Constrained Discovery

Abstract: Champion recommendation in multiplayer online battle arena games is usually framed informally as a problem of metagame strength, personal comfort, or global win rate. We formalize champion recommendation in League of Legends as an interpretable, player-conditional ranking problem under sparse, noisy, and non-stationary behavioral data. The proposed framework combines four information sources: a population-strength proxy, player-style similarity, direct and indirect mastery priors, and archetype-level guardrails. The method uses robust median/MAD normalization, logarithmic transforms for skewed event counts, recency-weighted player style vectors, mastery-weighted champion-pool vectors, weighted cosine similarity, rank-scaled score components, and k-means++ clustering for coarse archetype support. The implemented prototype uses a Python/Pandas modeling layer, Supabase-backed storage, and a web-facing recommendation interface. Unlike black-box supervised win-prediction systems, the proposed method returns decomposed recommendation scores that can be inspected as expected-performance proxy, fit, mastery, and archetype compatibility. A single-player case study on a 100-game history for the player identifier DIVINERAINRACCON is included as an end-to-end sanity check. The manuscript is therefore a methods and systems contribution: it specifies a reproducible, modular, and auditable champion recommender and gives a validation protocol for future large-scale evaluation through temporal train-test splits, next-champion recovery, calibration analysis, and ablation studies.