LatentRouter: Can We Choose the Right Multimodal Model Before Seeing Its Answer?

Abstract: Multimodal LLMs (MLLMs) have heterogeneous strengths across OCR, chart understanding, spatial reasoning, visual question answering, cost, and latency. Effective MLLM routing therefore requires more than estimating query difficulty: a router must match the multimodal requirements of the current image-question input with the capabilities of each candidate model. We propose LatentRouter, a router that formulates MLLM routing as counterfactual multimodal utility prediction. Given an image-question query, LatentRouter extracts learned multimodal routing capsules, represents each candidate MLLM with a model capability token, and performs latent communication between these states to estimate how each model would perform if selected. A distributional outcome head predicts model-specific counterfactual quality, while a bounded capsule correction refines close decisions without allowing residual signals to dominate the prediction. The resulting utility-based policy supports performance-oriented and performance-cost routing, and handles changing candidate pools through shared per-model scoring with availability masking. Experiments on MMR-Bench and VL-RouterBench show that LatentRouter outperforms fixed-model, feature-level, and learned-router baselines. Additional analyses show that the gains are strongest on multimodal task groups where model choice depends on visual, layout-sensitive, or reasoning-oriented requirements, and that latent communication is the main contributor to the improvement. The code is available at: https://github.com/LabRAI/LatentRouter.