SpecBound: Adaptive Bounded Self-Speculation with Layer-wise Confidence Calibration

Abstract: Speculative decoding has emerged as a promising approach to accelerate autoregressive inference in LLMs. Self-draft methods, which leverage the base LLM itself for speculation, avoid the overhead of auxiliary draft models but face limitations: shallow layers often produce overconfident yet incorrect token predictions, and the presence of difficult tokens in a draft sequence forces redundant computation through deeper layers, undermining both draft acceptance and overall speedup. To address these issues, we propose a novel self-draft framework that suppresses spurious confidence via layer-wise temperature annealing in early-exit decision and adaptively bounds speculation length based on token-wise decoding difficulty. By reprocessing the hidden states of draft tokens in a unified parallel pass through deep layers, our method maintains exact output equivalence with the original model while maximizing computational efficiency. It requires no modifications to the base LLM parameters and achieves up to 2.33x wall-time speedup over standard autoregressive decoding across diverse long-form generation tasks and multiple model architectures.