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Opportunity-Sensitive Social Welfare

Published 27 Mar 2026 in econ.TH and econ.GN | (2603.26853v1)

Abstract: We develop an axiomatic framework to evaluate income distributions from the perspective of an opportunity-egalitarian social planner. Building on a formal link with the literature on decision theory under ambiguity, we characterize a class of opportunity-sensitive social welfare functions based on a two-stage evaluation: the planner first computes the expected utility of income within each social type, where types consist of individuals sharing the same circumstances beyond their control, and then aggregates these type-specific welfare levels through a transformation reflecting aversion to inequality of opportunity. The evaluation is governed by a single parameter. We provide equivalent representations of the social welfare function, including a mean-divergence form that separates an efficiency term from an inequality term, and we establish an opportunity stochastic dominance criterion. Finally, we derive inequality measures that decompose overall inequality into within-group risk and between-group inequality of opportunity, providing a tractable basis for normative welfare analysis.

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