Sat-JEPA-Diff: Bridging Self-Supervised Learning and Generative Diffusion for Remote Sensing

Abstract: Predicting satellite imagery requires a balance between structural accuracy and textural detail. Standard deterministic methods like PredRNN or SimVP minimize pixel-based errors but suffer from the "regression to the mean" problem, producing blurry outputs that obscure subtle geographic-spatial features. Generative models provide realistic textures but often misleadingly reveal structural anomalies. To bridge this gap, we introduce Sat-JEPA-Diff, which combines Self-Supervised Learning (SSL) with Hidden Diffusion Models (LDM). An IJEPA module predicts stable semantic representations, which then route a frozen Stable Diffusion backbone via a lightweight cross-attention adapter. This ensures that the synthesized high-accuracy textures are based on absolutely accurate structural predictions. Evaluated on a global Sentinel-2 dataset, Sat-JEPA-Diff excels at resolving sharp boundaries. It achieves leading perceptual scores (GSSIM: 0.8984, FID: 0.1475) and significantly outperforms deterministic baselines, despite standard autoregressive stability limits. The code and dataset are publicly available on https://github.com/VU-AIML/SAT-JEPA-DIFF.